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The Cambridge Review of International Affairs published my open access article “The party politics of national role contestation: Germany’s ‘traffic light’ coalition and the Russian war against Ukraine“. Building on my recent work on German foreign policy change, this article examines national role contestation within the traffic-light coalition under Chancellor Scholz (2021–2024). Hence, emphasis is placed on policy differences between the coalition partners but also between the governing parties and the opposition. The article originated in the 10th European Workshops in International Studies (EWIS) in Amsterdam in 2023, and it is part of a forthcoming special issue edited by Angelos Chryssogelos and Toby Greene. Many thanks to all participants, the editors, and the anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments.

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Abstract: Addressing the German Bundestag in February 2022, Chancellor Scholz described the implications of Russia’s war against Ukraine as a Zeitenwende (‘watershed’) in international politics. Since then, Germany saw unprecedented changes in its foreign and security policy, overturning established policies and long-held beliefs. While these have been the subject of academic studies and political commentary, less attention has been paid to the domestic contestation of Germany’s national role in the wake of the Zeitenwende. Building on work in role theory and party politics, this article analyses the partisan contestation of German foreign policy role conceptions during the traffic light coalition of SPD, Greens, and Liberals (2021–2024). The article provides evidence of both horizontal and vertical role contestation. The former takes place between government and opposition but also among the governing parties. The latter relates to contestation within political parties, from the public, but also—as a novel form of vertical role contestation—between the regional and federal level. Taken together, the article identifies considerable national role contestation below the surface of an apparent cross-party foreign policy consensus.

The December issue of Baltic Rim Economies includes a short piece of mine: “Zeitenwende at Twilight: Will Germany’s Shift Last?“. This article is part of a special issue on Germany’s Political, Economic, and Environmental Development. The contribution reflects on the transitional phase that Germany currently finds itself in, after the collapse of the “traffic light” coalition in November 2024, before the early elections in February 2025, and amidst increasing political contestation over Germany’s foreign and security policy, as witnessed in regional elections in Brandenburg, Saxony, and Thuringia, among others. Baltic Rim Economies is published by Centrum Balticum, headed by Director Kari Liuhto, Professor at the University of Turku in Finland.

From the article: “As Germany stands at the twilight of its Zeitenwende, the question remains whether this transformative shift in foreign and security policy will endure amid domestic political upheaval and external pressures. The upcoming general elections will play a decisive role in shaping the future of this pivotal moment in German history, determining whether the policy changes that have been initiated since 2022 can be sustained or fade into twilight, overshadowed by competing domestic and international pressures.”

On December 10-12, the European QCA Conference took place at Tilburg University, organized by Roel Rutten, Lien Denoo, Giulia Bazzan, Jiahe Wang, and Steven van den Oord. As in previous years, in Zurich and Antwerp, this entailed a Paper Development Workshop where empirical QCA applications were discussed in small panels with two experts and three to four paper-givers each. I participated as QCA expert in a panel on public governance (broadly conceived), where I discussed four papers together with Giulia Bazzan (Tilburg University). The Paper Development Workshop was followed by an Expert Workshop with three panels of papers on recent developments and methodological advances.

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